INDER
Kumar Gujral and Nawaz Sharif, then Prime Ministers
of India and Pakistan, respectively, met at
Male during the SAARC summit to discuss how
to improve relations between the two countries.
Both decided to normalise trade and business
first. But they also appointed a committee of
bureaucrats drawn from both sides to discuss
Kashmir. With this task done, Gujral requested
Nawaz Sharif to allow the export of cotton which
was in short supply in India at that time. The
latter agreed to it. But a secretary-level official
from Pakistan shouted from the corner of the
room: “Mian Sahib, what about Kashmir?”
The deal did not take place.
This is the bane of relations between India
and Pakistan. The bureaucracy in Pakistan believes
that it serves its interest if it is adamant.
India, too, faces a similar problem. Yet being
a democracy, with political masters, the situation
has never reached a point where the rulers make
up their mind to implement a particular policy
and fail to do so because of bureaucracy.
Lately, things are beginning to look up between
India and Pakistan because of various reasons.
One of them is that people on both sides are
sick of enmity and its fallout. Elections in
Pakistan, however rigged, have thrown up a political
alternative. This is an opportunity for both
the countries to start afresh. I wish New Delhi
would take the initiative after the government
is formed at Islamabad. I am happy to see new
ideas for rapprochement emerging in Pakistan
and reflecting a different approach from the
old mulish one.
Asif Ali Zardari, the co-chairman of the Pakistan
People’s Party (PPP), who is set to lead
the next government in Pakistan, has proposed
to keep Kashmir “aside” to focus
on trade. “We do not want to be a hostage
to that situation,” he said while underlining
“strong feelings” on Kashmir. Whatever
else he may be, Zardari is a realist. He understands
that too much embroilment with the Kashmir issue
has told upon his country, economically, politically
and socially. The entrenchment of the armed
forces is one of the worst consequences.
Terrorism which threatens Pakistan in many ways,
Zardari knows, was initiated by General Zia-ul
Haq and sustained by General Pervez Musharraf
to bleed India. True, the latter suffered and
it still does. None at Delhi knows when and
where terrorists will strike again. Yet, as
a gathering of clerics of Dar-ul Uloom at Deoband
in India has said, terrorism is against the
tenets of Islam and that the religion does not
in any way condone the killing of innocents.
Deoband is a severe, orthodox sect of Islam
closely connected to the Wahabis in Saudi Arabia.
Zaradari may have been influenced by the fatwa
from Deoband. He may also be feeling helpless
against the situation where terrorists are striking
in the northwest. (During the last year, there
have been 56 attacks by terrorists in Pakistan,
killing 759 citizens, including over 239 security
personnel and injuring 1,685.) Zardari’s
first priority is to eliminate terrorism. This
what Benazir Bhutto would have done had she
been alive. To fight terrorism, Zardari has
no recourse except relying on the armed forces.
He also realises that he cannot challenge the
military so long as Kashmir is hanging fire.
Keeping Kashmir “aside” does not
mean that Zardari is writing off Kashmir. Nor
does it mean “sidelining the question”
as is the fear of the Hurriyat leaders. It only
means that the two countries have open trade
and commerce so that the goodwill generated
in the process will help both overcome the impediments
on Kashmir and come to a settlement. “We
can be patient till everybody grows up further,”
says Zardari. Zulfikar Ali Bhutto also told
me once in an interview that “it was not
incumbent on his generation to solve every problem.
Let the next generations take up Kashmir.”
Zardari has argued that “maybe, coming
generation grows up even further and then let
us interact as human beings and come to a position
of love.” This is a practical approach.
Pakistan should exploit the opportunity of having
access to India’s open markets as the
West is doing. Even now the unofficial trade
between the two countries through Dubai and
Singapore alone is said to be worth $2 billion.
Why not have direct trade which will earn the
governments on both sides custom duty, excise
tax, etc. and save importers the money spent
on bringing goods through circuitous routes?
I know there are hardliners who will frown upon
Zardari’s suggestion. The two countries
have fought three wars on Kashmir and have wasted
crores of rupees on defending the line of control.
(India has increased its military budget by
10 per cent, from Rs 96,000 crore to Rs 105,500
crore.) Thousands of people have died on the
Indian side of Kashmir in the insurgency which
has been there off and on for many decades.
Terrorism has ended the insurgency.
Kashmir is a political question and it needs
to be settled that way. The armed forces cannot
solve the problem. Many commanders on the Indian
side have said so. The commanders on the Pakistan
side have also felt the futility of a militaristic
approach. Zardari’s statement only underlines
that and he feels that a new initiative is needed
to break the logjam.
In fact, Pakistan should tear a leaf from India’s
book. The latter has a problem with China on
the border. They fought a war in 1962 on this
issue. New Delhi believes that Beijing has under
its occupation 35,000 square miles of Indian
territory. Still India has moved first to have
economic ties with China. New Delhi has not
whittled down its claim. It holds ever three
months a meeting with Beijing on the delineation
of the border. In a way, it has kept the border
dispute aside. But that does not mean the problem
has been settled. New Delhi is utilising the
peace at the border to trade which has trebled
in the last couple of years. China is reciprocating
without reservations.
Pakistan, too, does not have to give up its
claim on Kashmir. Nor does it have to abandon
the Kashmir Solidarity Day, an exercise it has
been going over for some years. But nothing
stops it from having trade and business relations
with India. Were this to happen, the top industrial
houses in India would be willing to invest in
Pakistan, as they are doing in the UK, Europe,
the US and even China. New Delhi should also
be giving concessions in tariffs because it
is a developed country compared to its neighbours.
Once the trade between India and Pakistan is
established, the arrangement can be extended
to Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal. Ultimately,
the entire region from Afghanistan to Myanmar
can become a common market, like the one the
European countries have. The sky is the limit.